Pacific Standard July-August 2013 Cover

That Lingering Whiff of Scandal Lasts About 4 Years

gingrich

Just for the sake of argument, let’s say you’re a seven-term congressman and you’ve got a little problem with the House Ethics Committee. How long before the folks back home forgive and forget? About two terms, according to a new study in the Social Science Quarterly. This assumes that you stick around—about a quarter of House members resign or retire when scandal comes a’knockin'—and that you’re among the half who survive the next election. Given that initial election to the House is as good a promise of continued employment as modern America can provide these days, such ... Read More

The Next Political Weapon for Minority Parties: Recall Elections

colorado-chamber

Several state legislators in Colorado are currently facing the threat of a recall election. This is happening not because of any alleged criminal or immoral activity on their parts or because they somehow sullied the reputation of the state government. Rather, it's because they voted for several gun control restrictions earlier this year, and that made gun rights activists mad. The recall campaign against John Morse, the Democratic president of the state senate, just submitted more than twice the required number of signatures to get its target's recall on the ballot. Morse will likely soon ... Read More

Intrade, We Hardly Knew Ye

intrade

If you're a gambler, you might have noticed that the prediction market known as Intrade shut down last week. Theories abound as to why that happened. It's not clear what will become of Intrade—perhaps it will be back up next week, perhaps we will never see it again. But I wanted to mention some of Intrade's contributions to politics. (At the risk of being presumptuous, I'll be referring to Intrade in the past tense, although I'll be happy to be wrong about that.) If you never used it, Intrade was really a clever gambling device, allowing you to bet on the probability of an event ... Read More

Election Results From the Rest of the World

images

What, you think the U.S. is the only place voting? NICARAGUA: With 91 percent of the vote counted, Nicaragua's Sandinista Front won an overwhelming 76 percent Sunday, in a key vote focused on mayoral offices across the Central American nation. That gives the party of Reagan-era figure Daniel Ortega control of a whopping 134 of 156 city halls that were in play, according to wire reports. The US State Department, among others, declared the result fishy. Notably, the race for mayor of Managua went to a Sandinista candidate with an overwhelming 83 percent of the vote. Nicaragua Dispatch, ... Read More

Do You Browse to the Left, or the Right?

If we were to peek into your browser history, would we be more likely to find Rush, Beck and O’Reilly, or Sullivan, Yglesias and Ariana? Do you even know? Turns out there’s an app for that (of sorts). Meet Balancer, a free add-on for the Chrome browser that was developed by Sean Munson, an assistant professor of Human-Centered Design and Engineering at the University of Washington. The free plug-in analyzes your browsing habits over a 30-day period using a giant database of known political sites that have been ranked along a spectrum from -1 (O’Reilly, Limbaugh, and ... Read More

Dick Morris is Lying, Part Infinity Plus One

Dick Morris, legendary self-promoter and political arsonist, is calling the presidency for Romney. As sure a sign as any that campaign silly season has commenced. ... Read More

Does Mormon Matter?

Mitt Romney

It's hard to miss that being Mormon is an issue in this presidential election. Gallup recently reported that nearly one in five Americans say that they would not vote for a Mormon—a sentiment most prevalent with Democrats and voters with low levels of education. The latter group, particularly whites and Latinos, are key to the GOP’s 2012 campaign. Add to that, many in Mitt Romney’s own party—particularly conservative Christians—see his religion as a liability. Critical to these issues is the assumption that Mormon elected officials actually behave differently from ... Read More

Spotting Election Fraud Gets Smarter, Cheaper

International election monitors have observed a number of high-profile, highly suspect victories over the past few years: Hamid Karzai’s in 2009, Alexander Lukashenko’s in 2010, Vladimir Putin’s earlier this month. Observers have flagged ballot inconsistencies and missing vote totals and voter intimidation. But hardly anyone seems deterred. “It’s very hard to conduct free and fair elections in a new democracy, even in old democracies,” said James Long, a doctoral candidate at the University of California, San Diego. “This is kind of curious because for 20 years, elections ... Read More

Overseas Troops Finally Get Fair Shot at Voting

James Carey was a junior officer on a ship in the South Pacific during the Vietnam War when he was appointed one of the least envious military roles at sea: voting assistance officer. The job — a part-time one, of course — came with a massive three-ring binder of the byzantine rules and regulations for voting absentee in the 50 states, six territories, and thousands of counties back home. “This was before e-mail,” Carey said, lest we forget that such a time ever existed. “That would mean if you’re on a ship, and you’re trying to register to vote, or to get more information on ... Read More

Supreme Court Calls For New Try on Texas Districts

The U.S. Supreme Court has opted out of messing with Texas, at least for now. In a unanimous, unsigned decision, the judges avoided a variety of thorny  legal questions, vaguely asking for revisions to a redistricting map drawn by a panel of judges in San Antonio. At stake is the likely party alignment of four new congressional seats that were awarded to Texas after the 2010 census revealed significant, minority-driven population growth in the state. The Republican-controlled Texas state Legislature’s map all but ensured at least three of those new seats would be safely Republican, ... Read More