Pacific Standard March-April 2013 Cover

About Seth Masket

Seth Masket is a political scientist at the University of Denver, specializing in political parties, state legislatures, campaigns and elections, and social networks. He is the author of No Middle Ground: How Informal Party Organizations Control Nominations and Polarize Legislatures (University of Michigan Press, 2009). He tweets at @smotus.

Our Political Parties Have Polarized, But They Have a Lot Further to Go

us-reps

Last week, I wrote up a post describing how the parties in Congress have polarized in part because they represent more ideologically distinct districts and states than they used to. I produced a chart showing how the states themselves are polarizing; to the extent senators are simply representing their states today, that would lead to much more partisan behavior than it would have a few decades ago. Here's the same sort of chart showing the presidential vote by congressional district. It's a similar story. The red columns show the number of congressional districts in the 1968 presidential ... Read More

Members of Congress Are Elected to Represent, Not to Get Along

congress-washington

In case you've missed it, there's been a spate of op-eds recently blaming President Obama for a lack of leadership; Obama could have gotten Republican members of Congress to agree on gun control, tax increases, and many more of his legislative priorities if only he knew how to lead. What "leading" means is usually left rather vague. Ron Fournier believes it just involves "rising above circumstance," E.J. Dionne thinks it means showing how much you enjoy your job, and Maureen Dowd thinks it means writing the names of persuadable senators on a chart, just like in an Aaron Sorkin movie. The ... Read More

Are Incumbents Invulnerable?

george-h-w-bush

Being an incumbent politician seems like a pretty good gig. Members of Congress usually win re-election more than 90 percent of the time. Even in famously tough "anti-incumbent" years like 2010, 87 percent of those who sought re-election won it. And, of course, we're on our third consecutive two-term presidency right now. Incumbents seem to get all the breaks—they have an easier time raising money than their challengers, they're better known, they're more experienced, etc. Is it even worth it to try to unseat an incumbent? In a thoughtful post a few weeks ago, Jonathan Bernstein pushed ... Read More

Crowd-Sourcing Big Brother

dark-knight-masket

Last week, Boston law enforcement authorities and the FBI found themselves in a tough situation. A heinous crime had been committed, but they had no suspects or leads. So they asked for help. If you had photos or video from the finish line of the Boston Marathon, they said, send it in. People responded with great enthusiasm, submitting terabytes of data. Included in the many images were the now-iconic pictures of the two suspects, one of whom is now dead, the other in custody. This series of events served as an important lesson about the government's surveillance capabilities. Almost no ... Read More

Political Science in the Raw: The Papers That Could Change Politics in the Coming Years

mpsa-conference

I’ve just returned from the Midwest Political Science Association’s annual conference in Chicago. This conference is always a favorite of mine. It’s quite big, but it tends to draw a large proportion of people who study American politics and methods—my kind of folks. It also draws a healthy combination of graduate students using cutting-edge techniques and established scholars with practical experience, and allows opportunities for mentorship and the sharing of ideas. I wanted to use this opportunity to highlight just a handful of papers I saw that struck me as interesting and ... Read More

Institutions Worthy of Our Parties: Should the U.S. Switch to a Parliamentary System?

parliament-house

Rick Hasen has a really interesting paper up discussing partisan polarization and the possibility of changing the Constitution to deal with it. (And you should really read Jonathan Bernstein's response, too.) Hasen starts off by asking whether we should be considering moving toward a more parliamentary style of government. It's a fair question. We have what looks like a serious mismatch between our parties and our governing institutions. We live in an era of sharply distinct, internally disciplined, programmatic parties with very different visions of how the nation should be run. That's ... Read More

A World Without Gatekeepers?

(PHOTO: BROCREATIVE/SHUTTERSTOCK)

http://youtu.be/5MSmoWKFz5A Last year, comedian Patton Oswalt delivered the keynote address at the Montreal Just for Laughs comedy festival. The speech (like much of Oswalt's work) is both funny and profound, particularly the section he addresses to the people he refers to as comedy's "gatekeepers"—the entertainment industry executives, focus groups, talent agents, and others who determine who gets bookings, shows, and albums, and who doesn't. As Oswalt explains it, the gatekeepers are increasingly irrelevant. Any actor with an iPhone, he notes, now has as much film-making power as ... Read More

Outlawed Research

(PHOTO: CORGARASHU/SHUTTERSTOCK)

Last week, the Congress passed its continuing budget resolution, funding the federal government for another six months. Included in that resolution was an amendment by Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) prohibiting the National Science Foundation from funding political science research unless that research is certified as promoting America's national security or economic interests. Political science, which receives roughly $10 million annually in NSF research support, was the only academic discipline singled out in such a way. Like many academics, political scientists have often done a poor job ... Read More

Intrade, We Hardly Knew Ye

intrade

If you're a gambler, you might have noticed that the prediction market known as Intrade shut down last week. Theories abound as to why that happened. It's not clear what will become of Intrade—perhaps it will be back up next week, perhaps we will never see it again. But I wanted to mention some of Intrade's contributions to politics. (At the risk of being presumptuous, I'll be referring to Intrade in the past tense, although I'll be happy to be wrong about that.) If you never used it, Intrade was really a clever gambling device, allowing you to bet on the probability of an event ... Read More

It’s Not the States, It’s the Party

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus addresses the Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans in 2011. (PHOTO: CHRISTOPHER HALLORAN/SHUTTERSTOCK)

GOP chairman Reince Priebus recently gave an interview with the Des Moines Register in which he seemed to be arguing for an expansion in the number of primaries and caucuses in which Republican presidential candidates compete. If I understand his argument correctly, he's saying that by getting involved in these early party contests, the Republican candidates will be better equipped to compete in those states in the general election. As he says, The issue is that in the past, it wasn’t just Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina. It used to be that we fought over states like Washington ... Read More